Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 31.607407 36.415958 41.621688 47.664951 54.475788 61.902223 70.600695
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 23.617806 30.320237 38.275478 48.358265 60.735883 75.369432 93.908547
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 18.766837 26.279313 35.871173 48.888219 65.945377 87.371407 116.131550
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 14.363379 21.727847 31.754331 46.190863 66.190083 92.623801 129.848151
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 12.452576 20.098620 31.079525 47.677148 71.729551 104.842124 153.275289
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 11.235474 19.207225 31.206787 50.126978 78.628700 119.251944 180.605971
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.420571 17.071343 29.145509 49.001527 80.077842 125.897369 197.282340
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.735045 14.850019 26.612835 46.764902 79.486392 129.317481 209.270042
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 7.301479 14.678705 27.332785 49.719822 87.126358 145.533484 241.386014
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.149205 14.974708 28.842748 54.080159 97.316145 166.303628 281.745626
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.458856 14.160949 28.311811 54.874900 101.638655 178.027280 308.566151
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.771740 13.243949 27.472057 55.006645 104.786483 187.974095 333.040152
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.952399 11.976084 25.908681 53.820512 105.816317 194.949196 353.927142
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.368355 11.114722 25.034425 53.855858 109.089215 206.066648 382.720312
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.900916 10.426000 24.408073 54.283511 113.092199 218.697774 414.897724
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.200969 9.064497 22.195507 51.291212 110.353345 219.169852 425.902813
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.967049 8.782170 22.248420 52.915492 116.615539 236.236405 467.282971
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.831435 8.723280 22.784742 55.600956 125.172299 258.040320 518.436657
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.450765 7.946209 21.572147 54.366470 125.690176 264.791271 542.362354
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.052828 7.034632 19.904500 51.912848 123.434786 266.034098 556.008857
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.007333 7.125806 20.697039 55.154109 133.460456 291.744821 617.404198
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.035466 7.442508 22.093045 59.933439 147.138421 325.414266 695.747063
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.872868 7.141473 21.860571 60.804118 152.321171 342.381512 742.498896